At the just-concluded 21st session of the China-U.S. Joint Commission on Commerce and Trade, Vice Premier Wang Qishan of the State Council of China publicly promised that telecom operators can independently choose 4G technical standards in accordance with market principles and their own relevant requirements. China's management approach adopted in the 3G market plan is completely different. What kind of changes will happen to the telecommunication market in the future? Does the speech of Vice Premier Wang Qishan influence the selection of China's three major operators in the 4G standard? Become the industry's most concerned topic.
The rise of the industry side by side with the international giant "4G commercial will take at least five years or so, while the global major operators actively promote the LTE is only 3.9G." Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, former vice president Zhang Shunyi said: "From the current momentum, In 4 to 5 years, the Chinese communications industry will have the ability to hold more power in the 4G standard and industry. Premier Wang Qishan’s speech is forward-looking. In the 4G era, China will not fear international competition.â€
Zhang Shunji told reporters that since the 1980s, China’s telecommunications industry has developed rapidly. In the 1990s, ZTE Corporation and Huawei Technologies began to rise. With the efforts of various parties in the research sector, universities and other industries, we now have research and development in the communications industry. The strength is already in the forefront of the world. In the formulation of the 4G standard, China is not inferior to other competitors.
Fu Liang, a senior telecom expert, believes that the 4G standard, the International Telecommunication Union has not yet reached a final conclusion, but basically can be sure that LTE will occupy an important seat, and in the integration of LTE industry chain capabilities, Huawei, ZTE and Ericsson, Qualcomm, Nokia Siemens Wait side by side in front of the world.
Recognizing the management defects in the 3G era Although the domestic industry's strength has rapidly increased, it has failed to bring about the prosperity of the 3G market. Professor Kai Kaili of the Institute of Information Industry Policy and Development of Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications believes that if China will give operators the right to choose standards in the 4G era, then this also means euphemistically acknowledging the current trend of excessive protectionism in telecommunication supervision in the 3G era.
Kuang Kaili suggested that the selection of technical standards was originally a matter for the enterprise. The relevant departments should not interfere too much with the company's behavior. The current lack of development of TD-SCDMA is the best evidence. It was actually put forward in the government’s 13th work report. The market-oriented management ideas of “the government regulates the market and the market guides companies†should be implemented accordingly.
As we all know, in the 3G era, China Telecom, China Mobile, and China Unicom each operate CDMA2000, TD-SCDMA, and WCDMA 3G networks in different formats. Telecom operators do not have the right of choice. The relevant departments even hope that these three types of systems will be assigned. To balance the strength of the three operators.
“Opening is a good thing. For fear that like the current TD-SCDMA 3G network, there is a sense of being isolated.†Fu Liang said that a communication standard can only grow if it is supported by manufacturers in the industry chain. Open standards can attract More manufacturers. For example, the speed of launching TD-SCDMA mobile phone terminals is usually 3 to 6 months slower than the other two 3G systems. With the same Nokia mobile phone, the launch of TD version is often the latest, which greatly restricts TD-SCDMA. The development of standards.
Fu Liang predicts that the LTE or 3.9G network will be commercially available in China in two years' time. Regardless of the Chinese-led TD-LTE standard or the overseas-led FDD-LTE standard, the terminal and network compatibility will be much better than the current one. 3G network. This is also the case in the 4G era, when TD-LTE will be better integrated with other standards, and domestic telecom operators will be able to handle the 4G standard.
3.9G Route Selection is Still Unclear From an immediate perspective, China's three operators are about to launch a new round of pilot network upgrades. According to recent sources, the TD-LTE scale experiment will be officially launched in January 2011, and 11 TD-LTE trial networks are expected to be built. Zhang Shunyi believes that it is clear that China Mobile’s need for upgrading LTE networks is most urgent, and hopes to take advantage of this to overcome the inadequacies of the current operation of TD-SCDMA 3G networks; and China Unicom's evolution of LTE is also very clear. Internationally, there are commercial precedents that can be used for reference; The only thing still unclear is China Telecom. There are still many uncertainties in the evolution of the CDMA2000 network.
In this regard, Fu Liang believes that there is no possibility of smooth transition for the three operators in the LTE or 3.9G network upgrade. Both are facing relatively large-scale investment and construction, even though China Mobile is still paying attention to TD-LTE and FDD at the same time. LTE, at this stage, the choice of three operators is hard to say what the tendency is.
The rise of the industry side by side with the international giant "4G commercial will take at least five years or so, while the global major operators actively promote the LTE is only 3.9G." Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, former vice president Zhang Shunyi said: "From the current momentum, In 4 to 5 years, the Chinese communications industry will have the ability to hold more power in the 4G standard and industry. Premier Wang Qishan’s speech is forward-looking. In the 4G era, China will not fear international competition.â€
Zhang Shunji told reporters that since the 1980s, China’s telecommunications industry has developed rapidly. In the 1990s, ZTE Corporation and Huawei Technologies began to rise. With the efforts of various parties in the research sector, universities and other industries, we now have research and development in the communications industry. The strength is already in the forefront of the world. In the formulation of the 4G standard, China is not inferior to other competitors.
Fu Liang, a senior telecom expert, believes that the 4G standard, the International Telecommunication Union has not yet reached a final conclusion, but basically can be sure that LTE will occupy an important seat, and in the integration of LTE industry chain capabilities, Huawei, ZTE and Ericsson, Qualcomm, Nokia Siemens Wait side by side in front of the world.
Recognizing the management defects in the 3G era Although the domestic industry's strength has rapidly increased, it has failed to bring about the prosperity of the 3G market. Professor Kai Kaili of the Institute of Information Industry Policy and Development of Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications believes that if China will give operators the right to choose standards in the 4G era, then this also means euphemistically acknowledging the current trend of excessive protectionism in telecommunication supervision in the 3G era.
Kuang Kaili suggested that the selection of technical standards was originally a matter for the enterprise. The relevant departments should not interfere too much with the company's behavior. The current lack of development of TD-SCDMA is the best evidence. It was actually put forward in the government’s 13th work report. The market-oriented management ideas of “the government regulates the market and the market guides companies†should be implemented accordingly.
As we all know, in the 3G era, China Telecom, China Mobile, and China Unicom each operate CDMA2000, TD-SCDMA, and WCDMA 3G networks in different formats. Telecom operators do not have the right of choice. The relevant departments even hope that these three types of systems will be assigned. To balance the strength of the three operators.
“Opening is a good thing. For fear that like the current TD-SCDMA 3G network, there is a sense of being isolated.†Fu Liang said that a communication standard can only grow if it is supported by manufacturers in the industry chain. Open standards can attract More manufacturers. For example, the speed of launching TD-SCDMA mobile phone terminals is usually 3 to 6 months slower than the other two 3G systems. With the same Nokia mobile phone, the launch of TD version is often the latest, which greatly restricts TD-SCDMA. The development of standards.
Fu Liang predicts that the LTE or 3.9G network will be commercially available in China in two years' time. Regardless of the Chinese-led TD-LTE standard or the overseas-led FDD-LTE standard, the terminal and network compatibility will be much better than the current one. 3G network. This is also the case in the 4G era, when TD-LTE will be better integrated with other standards, and domestic telecom operators will be able to handle the 4G standard.
3.9G Route Selection is Still Unclear From an immediate perspective, China's three operators are about to launch a new round of pilot network upgrades. According to recent sources, the TD-LTE scale experiment will be officially launched in January 2011, and 11 TD-LTE trial networks are expected to be built. Zhang Shunyi believes that it is clear that China Mobile’s need for upgrading LTE networks is most urgent, and hopes to take advantage of this to overcome the inadequacies of the current operation of TD-SCDMA 3G networks; and China Unicom's evolution of LTE is also very clear. Internationally, there are commercial precedents that can be used for reference; The only thing still unclear is China Telecom. There are still many uncertainties in the evolution of the CDMA2000 network.
In this regard, Fu Liang believes that there is no possibility of smooth transition for the three operators in the LTE or 3.9G network upgrade. Both are facing relatively large-scale investment and construction, even though China Mobile is still paying attention to TD-LTE and FDD at the same time. LTE, at this stage, the choice of three operators is hard to say what the tendency is.
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